I met Kirsten Gillibrand, Democrat of New York, at a luncheon and think she has a 2 percent chance at winning the U.S. presidency.
How many of the 45 U.S. Presidents (1776-2016 elections) were previously U.S. Senators?
How many current or former U.S. Senators are there?
So, two percent chance, as of spring, off-year, is pretty good.
Current polls have Bernie Sanders with about 40 percent of the voters, but we are in the first point or first flick of the wrist in a giant squash match.
(This construct recalls a previous piece about Palo Alto council member Alison Cormack, a 1-in-10,000 chance at POTUS, note).